Paul Beckwith fears that another Arctic cyclone could be starting up about 5 days from now.
GFSx model shows it churning from about August 19th or 20th onward to the end of the forecast (at least for 5 days+). It appears that this storm will be positioned closer to the Atlantic side, and be north of Greenland.
There will be a very high pressure mass of warm air over Greenland and the cyclonic flow will be pushing ice toward the Atlantic. Paul stands by his prediction of no sea ice in the Arctic by September 30th. There still is some 30 to 40+ days of melt season left. Paul adds that the 40+ days will more likely apply due to warmer water from storm churning.
View Paul's presentation by clicking on the link below:
https://docs.google.com/open?id=0ByLujhsHsxP7dUQwYXJ6bXRSd00
Or, view the presentation in the window below (it may take some time for the file to fully load).
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| Paul Beckwith, B.Eng, M.Sc. (Physics), Ph. D. student (Climatology); Part-time Professor, University of Ottawa |
View Paul's presentation by clicking on the link below:
https://docs.google.com/open?id=0ByLujhsHsxP7dUQwYXJ6bXRSd00
Or, view the presentation in the window below (it may take some time for the file to fully load).
